The investment entity Cash Plus has driven
Jamaican investors into a paroxysm of frenzy with people queuing up with their
hard-earned Jamaican dollars in the hope of making a 10 per cent return per
month.
Yes, the testimonials are
very positive, indeed reassuring, but questions need answering. Who is the
lead principal of Cash Plus? What are his antecedents? What does Cash Plus
invest in? Just how safe is investors' money? What is likely to happen if you
should demand your money tomorrow?
It is of paramount importance
that one knows who one is investing with and whether that organisation is
credible and well established. Are the lead principals upstanding citizens or
are they charlatans, carpetbaggers and get-quick-rich artists?
Speaking with investors in
Cash Plus, it was patently clear that there were many who were unconcerned
about who they were investing with, the character of the persons involved and
just how they are able to make those cheques every month.
As far as Caribbean Business
Report understands, the lead principal is one Carlos Hill, a former mortgage
broker from an unknown company. Little is known about his educational
achievements and professional career.
Cash Plus was founded in
2002 and comprises a diverse range of interests including real estate,
telecommunications, entertainment, gaming and phone cards. The idea is that
investors or rather punters stump up a minimum of J$100,000 and make a 10 per
cent return a month. The model has certainly caught the attention of the
investing public who are now pulling their savings from the traditional
finance houses in the hope of making "a bag-o-money from the new
money-makers". Investors appear blithely unconcerned about what
they are putting their money into, which speaks to the unsophisticated nature
of Jamaican investors.
The fact is that with the
Jamaican dollar devaluing daily, and a general election due some time this
year, investors are likely to become skittish and may well form a run on Cash
Plus. Can Hill honour all his commitments, considering he is taking short-term
deposits and investing in assets that generally are tailored to a long-term
return? This may well be weighing on his mind, as now Cash Plus insists that
your money has to be with the "institution" for a minimum of three
months.
Cash Plus or Hill has
invested in a housing development scheme in Sunset, Cherry Gardens. The units
are going for about US$1 million which, bearing in mind the perilous nature of
the terrain they sit on, might not get many takers at that price.
Phone cards have exploded in
Jamaica and taken on currency-like status. Cash Plus has taken a heavy
position here, but is it sustainable and how quickly can it turn vast profits
to pay out to its clients? Caribbean Business Report understands that phone
card sub-distributors earn between half a per cent and one per cent. The
retailer earns between 7 and 8.5 per cent but is not the end user. Now
considering that Cash Plus was not recognised as one of Digicel's top five
producers, just how many cards does it sell a month? If it sold 100 million
cards a month, that would spell J$1 million a month in revenue, hardly enough
to sate the appetite of its growing client base.
Cash Plus has become
inextricably linked with OLINT and many people think they plough the same
field. This is a heinous misconception. OLINT, headed by David Smith, is a
foreign currency-trading company. Over the last year he has earned the
reputation as an exceptional trader. His antecedents are well known - the son
of outstanding teachers who cut his teeth at both the Bank of Jamaica and JMMB
before setting up shop for himself in a business he is well versed in. He is
no dilettante.
In March of last year there was
a run on OLINT with it losing 70 per cent of its deposits but it was able to
make its payments and has remained viable without any new customers (There is
a cease and desist order in place until next month) since November of last
year. This speaks to its liquidity.
OLINT has managed to attract
a more discerning clientele largely as a result of making returns in US
dollars and those who acknowledge Smith's prowess. It is said that he has
almost half a billion US dollars in funds under management making him a force
to be reckoned with.
Some very reputable players in
the financial sector have taken some stick for saying that the high earning
returns from these new operations are unsustainable and the height of folly.
Michael Lee Chin has said that the best investor in the world, Warren Buffett
gives a return of 20 per cent a year, with Lee Chin's own Advantage Fund
paying out a maximum of 14 per cent. JMMB has been quick to peruse the
landscape and Julian Mair has come up with some innovative products, which are
enticing.
Some have said that those
who have voiced their scepticism of these high returns are just envious and
it's a case of sour grapes. I'd like to think that many of them who are good
bankers fear for the small Jamaican investor who cannot sustain shocks. These
men are cautioning prudence and advising that investors should make informed
decisions before parting with their cash. A Charge of the Light Brigade
mentality is not a sound framework to make investment decisions.
Both the minister of finance
Omar Davies and the executive director of the Financial Services Commission (FSC),
Brian Wynter have warned Jamaicans about investing in dodgy schemes, but their
warnings have gone unheeded. They remember only too well the fallout from
FINSAC and people begging to be saved. The sector has over the last five or
six years staged a recovery and there are those who would like the country to
remember well those foreboding days. If dodgy schemes were to take a hold of
the investor consciousness and fail, it will be the state that will be
expected again to bail them out. The pleas of "Why didn't you warn us?
You should have protected us," will be everywhere. These men have a
difficult job of creating an environment where investors have a choice and are
not inhibited by over-regulation while at the same time having a duty to
protect the gullible investor from shady schemes and dubious companies. This
may go some way to explain their reticence.