Jamaica
News - Real Estate - Finance
Source: Jamaica Observer, September 23, 2005)
The
Caribbean is fraught with business opportunities - Lee-Chin
"The Caribbean is fraught with business
opportunities yet there is a dearth of equity capital in the region." So
said the Chairman of the NCB Group, Michael Lee-Chin, speaking at NCB Capital
Markets Corporate Finance Seminar titled "Accessing the Capital
Markets". The seminar was held at the Terra Nova Hotel, Kingston on
Wednesday evening.
Lee-Chin
said that last month he was in North Carolina, United States, embarking on
raising private equity funds to be invested in the Caribbean. On his trip, he
met with North Carolina's treasurer who said that twenty year's ago he could not
have envisaged the population saturation of its coastline.
"With
the baby boomers preparing for retirement, preparations will have to be made to
accomodate them. They are likely to consist of 100 million older people and with
saturation of not only North Carolina, but also South Carolina and Florida,
where are they going to go?
"They
are likely to go to the Caribbean. Now with the number of people looking to the
Caribbean the demand for the supply of services will rise," said Lee-Chin.
The chairman
of NCB sees that there will be a demand for health care, telecommunications,
entertainment and recreation.
"The
Caribbean is naturally suited to be the beneficiary of this need to avoid
population saturation and it will have to provide these services. It has the
advantage of proximity to the United States and many of the islands are
English-speaking. It has the reputation of being amenable and friendly. It is a
dollar denominated zone that recognises the rule of law."
Recently,
Lee-Chin was the guest of a notable Harlem Baptist reverend who told him that
natives there were being displaced as a result of the middle classes moving in
and the consequent gentrification of Harlem. Over the last decade, real estate
prices have gone up tenfold in Harlem.
"When
he told me this, my thoughts immediately centred upon Jamaica and the rest of
the Caribbean because Harlem is a microcosm of what Jamaica and the Caribbean
will become.
"The
reason why Jamaican real estate is not as well valued as that of Trinidad, the
Cayman Islands, St Barts, Barbados and the British Virgin Islands is because of
crime and violence - it's as simple as that. When the retirees come here there
is likely to be the same degree of gentrification if we don't make the necessary
preparations. When they begin to come here, we will not be able to afford real
estate in our own countries. We have to provide those services they require and
identify growth industries and that is why the future is great in the
Caribbean," said Lee-Chin.
He said that equity capital would be looking for a home in the Caribbean, which
is both a good and a bad thing. Bad because foreign capital repatriates
dividends and therefore there is a compounding effect within the jurisdiction.
"This year we will have US$1.1 billion in repatriated dividends from
Jamaica. We have to be conscious of what is happening and what is about to
happen. We have to hold on to our assets for our future and that of our
children. You compound your returns, that is how you create wealth. We know what
is coming and we must adjust our behaviour accordingly.
"High
interest rates have determined the behaviour of investors in Jamaica
particularly institutional investors.
Rolling over fixed income instruments is not investing. Today the government is
committed to a policy of low interest rates and so if you rely on fixed income,
you find yourself subject to high taxes after inflation. Not to mention it
negates all that is good about entrepreneurship.
"I
think pension funds will start to get into equities and equities will become a
source of funding for business people, hence the importance of the capital
markets and the expertise needed to grow wealth. Investors today have become
more comfortable with equities," said Lee-Chin.
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